Artificial Intelligence
In a recent talk, AI researcher Jürgen Schmidhuber provided a detailed framework for thinking about artificial intelligence will shape not only the near human future, but the extended one of our entire galaxy.
Since age 15, Jürgen Schmidhuber's main goal has been to build an artificial intelligence smarter than himself, and then retire. The Deep Learning Artificial Neural Networks developed since 1991 by his research groups at the Swiss AI Lab IDSIA (USI & SUPSI) and TU Munich have revolutionized handwriting recognition, speech recognition, machine translation, image caption generation, and are now available to over a billion users through Google, Microsoft, IBM, Baidu, and many other companies (DeepMind also was heavily influenced by his lab).
His team's Deep Learners were the first to win object detection and image segmentation contests, and achieved the world's first superhuman visual classification results, winning nine international competitions in machine learning & pattern recognition (more than any other team). His formal theory of fun & creativity & curiosity explains art, science, music, and humor.
> Speaking recently at the "The most influential tech conference in Europe," the DLD (Digital-Life-Design) Conference,Schmidhuber provided a comprehensive framework for thinking about artificial intelligence reviewing past developments in the field, and discussing its current (and expected future) effect on the work life, various industries, and infrastructure and even traffic design.
"I think we only need a couple of years until for the first time we will have something like an AI, an artificial intelligence on the level of small animals such as a crow, which can use tools and all kinds of things, or a little monkey," states Schmidhuber.
"Every profession is going to change, and all of civilization is going to change and philosophy and everything is going to change."
Framing how the Singularity may arise, he also explains how AI will progress very rapidly. "Once we have animal level AI, the step to human-level AI may not be that huge."Related articles
"For that reason, we can probably expect that once we have animal level AI, very soon afterwards we will have something like human-level AI and its not going to stop there." In case you have forgotten about the power of exponential technology, Schmidhuber in his dry Swiss tone enunciates that once this occurs: "Every profession is going to change, and all of civilization is going to change and philosophy and everything is going to change."
As for a time-line, Schmidhuber is not in the camp that thinks this is some distant happening. "My kids were born around the turn of the millenium," he starts:
The insurance mathematicians predict they are going to live to see the year 2100 because they are gods. A substantial fraction of their lives they will spend in a world where the smartest are not humans, and where the most important decision makers won't be humans. Everything is going to change and in the end AIs will colonize the solar system and use all the energy that's currently wasted by the Sun - only a billionth of the energy is hitting the Earth - and then within just a few millions of years, they are going to colonize the entire galaxy. Huge things are starting as we speak.Considering his long work on the artificial intelligence problem and his proximity to the key players in the field, Schmidhuber's words are really worth considering.
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