Artificial Intelligence
D-Wave's founder Geordie Rose gave three predictions about the future three years ago. Two of them have already come true. His last was about quantum computers that can think exponentially faster and will almost certainly overtake us in thought, and just about everything else. While this may sound familiar, the timeline Rose presents deserves another look.
At Moses Znaimer's Ideacity conference in 2013, Geordie Rose gave what he considered to be three dangerous predictions.
The conference took place as Rose, founder of D-Wave, the Canadian quantum computer company was sharing his company's new success, having installed machines at Google and NASA. Recently we were reviewing the footage (embedded below) and we wanted to reflect on what Rose foretold.
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"Predictions are what we want to happen, not what will happen."
Rose said they were dangerous predictions, because they were predictions about the future, and it is so easy to be wrong when predicting the future. "Predictions are our internal desires made manifest," Rose stated. "Predictions are what we want to happen, not what will happen."The first prediction he made was that within five years, an Earth-like planet discovered (with help of D-Wave computers) and that serious scientific examination would begin soon after on how we could actually get there.
Only recently, just such an incredible discovery was made—Proxima B, a roughly Earth-mass planet orbiting the star Proxima Centauri at only 4.2 light years away. The discovery has been described as an "astronomy dream come true." So far, scientists haven’t actually observed the planet directly. Instead, it was discovered indirectly via a technique that extensively, and precisely, observed the star’s tiny motion due to the gravitational effect of the planet orbiting it, however it is considered a major finding in the search for Earth-like planets outside the solar system.
The second of Rose's predictions was that parallel universes would get a very important proof from experiment, possibly relating to verification of the existence of of gravitational waves. At the beginning of the year, work done at the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO) confirms the existence of gravity waves. The discovery supports a cosmological theory called inflation, and with it, some say, the idea that our universe is one of many universes floating like bubbles in a glass of champagne.
Rose's prediction runs to 2023 for a more fully developed new model of physics where the cornerstone is the reality of parallel universes and this will be proven with support from a quantum computer.
If you are keeping track, it is pretty evident that Rose is already batting a whopping .660 in his predictions.
Rose proclaimed his third, and most important prediction last: that humanity was on the cusp of technological revolution, where the machines we build will start to outpace us in every respect within 15 years. (That is now down to within 12 years). By 2028, he stated that intelligent machines will exist that can do anything humans can do. Moreover, according to Rose, quantum computers will play a critical role in the creation of this new type of intelligence.
"I don't mean they're better calculators, I don't mean that they are better at searching, I mean EVERYTHING," expressed Rose unequivocally.
Based on what 33rd Square readers know and understand about exponential technology and the Singularity, and Rose's other predictive successes, we should all be ready for what is soon to come.
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